Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗53% · @1.70
Double chanceBotev Vratsa or draw ✓79% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Botev Vratsa vs Beroe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Botev Vratsa v Beroe in the First League, played at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.4 xG, Beroe 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 53%, draw 26%, Beroe 21%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Beroe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Vratsa53%fair 1.89 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Beroe21%fair 4.81 · @5.20
2.27Expected goals
1.39Botev Vratsa xG
0.88Beroe xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.4 – 0.9 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Vratsa to win✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Double chance
Botev Vratsa or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Botev Vratsa (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Beroe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Botev Vratsa to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Botev Vratsa – last 2
DD
20 Feb
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Dobrudzha
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Beroe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Beroe?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Beroe 21%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Beroe?
Botev Vratsa vs Beroe (First League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.