Value bet: Spartak Varna to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Spartak Varna vs Montana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Varna welcome Montana to Stadion Spartak for a First League fixture on Tuesday 3 March (12:30 WAT).
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Montana, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Botev Plovdiv, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.6 xG, Montana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 48%, draw 25%, Montana 27%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Spartak Varna to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Montana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna48%fair 2.10 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.10
Montana27%fair 3.64 · @2.95
2.64Expected goals
1.60Spartak Varna xG
1.03Montana xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.6 – 1.0 Montana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Varna to win✓
48%
2.10
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Spartak Varna (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Montana +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Spartak Varna to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Spartak Varna – last 3
LDD
27 Feb
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Montana – last 3
DLL
27 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Varna and Montana.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Montana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Montana?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montana 27%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Montana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Montana?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Montana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Montana?
Spartak Varna vs Montana (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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