Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Septemvri Sofia travel to face Botev Plovdiv on Tuesday 3 March in the First League, with Stadion Hristo Botev the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Montana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 2.0 xG, Septemvri Sofia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 66%, draw 21%, Septemvri Sofia 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Plovdiv66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.95
Septemvri Sofia13%fair 7.42 · @7.40
2.82Expected goals
2.01Botev Plovdiv xG
0.81Septemvri Sofia xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 2.0 – 0.8 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Double chance
Botev Plovdiv or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Botev Plovdiv (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Botev Plovdiv -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Botev Plovdiv to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Botev Plovdiv ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Botev Plovdiv – last 3
DWL
27 Feb
@ Montana
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Ludogorets
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Septemvri Sofia – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Septemvri Sofia.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Septemvri Sofia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Montana0
Beroe0