Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Sofia welcome Slavia Sofia to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Friday 13 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Slavia Sofia are 8th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Slavia Sofia, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Spartak Varna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Slavia Sofia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Lokomotiv Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.3 xG, Slavia Sofia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 46%, draw 27%, Slavia Sofia 27%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia46%fair 2.17 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.35
Slavia Sofia27%fair 3.67 · @3.80
2.43Expected goals
1.27Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.16Slavia Sofia xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.3 – 1.2 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✗
46%
2.17
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Slavia Sofia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Sofia to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 4
LWLD
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 4
WWLL
6 Mar
vs Spartak Varna
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Beroe
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs CSKA 1948
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Slavia Sofia 27%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
