Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontana to win ✗47% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Montana vs Beroe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the First League brings Montana against Beroe at Ogosta Stadium. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.
Current form
Montana, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cherno More Varna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Beroe, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Levski Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montana 1.3 xG, Beroe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montana 47%, draw 26%, Beroe 27%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montana 1–1 Beroe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montana47%fair 2.15 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.20
Beroe27%fair 3.71 · @3.60
2.47Expected goals
1.33Montana xG
1.13Beroe xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Montana 1.3 – 1.1 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montana to win✗
47%
2.15
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Montana (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Beroe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Montana to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montana / FT Montana✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Montana – last 6
LLLDLL
15 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Ludogorets
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 6
LLLDDL
15 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montana and Beroe.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Montana vs Beroe?
On our numbers Montana have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Beroe 27%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Montana 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Beroe?
Montana vs Beroe (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CSKA Sofia2
Dobrudzha0
Botev Vratsa1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv2