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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Vratsa v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Hristo Botev Stadium

Botev Vratsa

LDDD
1–2
FT

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

WLLDD
Botev Vratsa 39%Draw 29%Lokomotiv Plovdiv 32% Expected goals 0.99 – 0.98
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.90

Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Botev Vratsa v Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League, played at Hristo Botev Stadium. In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Botev Vratsa, last 4: LDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.0 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 39%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 0–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Vratsa39%fair 2.57 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @3.10
Lokomotiv Plovdiv32%fair 3.10 · @3.20
1.97Expected goals
0.99Botev Vratsa xG
0.98Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.0 – 1.0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotev Vratsa to win ✗39%2.572.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.95
Draw no betBotev Vratsa (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapLokomotiv Plovdiv +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.621.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.551.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.211.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreBotev Vratsa to score first43%2.31–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.90–

Recent results

Botev Vratsa – last 4

LDDD
4 Mar@ CSKA Sofia0–1L
28 Febvs Beroe0–0D
20 Feb@ Cherno More Varna0–0D
16 Febvs Dobrudzha0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

WLLDDD
13 Marvs Septemvri Sofia1–0W
9 Mar@ Levski Sofia0–1L
5 Marvs CSKA 19480–5L
2 Mar@ Ludogorets1–1D
21 Febvs Spartak Varna1–1D
15 Febvs Cherno More Varna1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Montana0 Beroe1 147%1.95X26%3.20227%3.60 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT CSKA Sofia2 Dobrudzha0 176%1.20X15%5.1029%14.00 2.4–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 32%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 0–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.