Montana 21%Draw 26%Slavia Sofia 54%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.51
79%
Betarazi pick
Slavia Sofia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗54% · @1.85
Double chanceSlavia Sofia or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Montana vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Thursday 16 April: Montana v Slavia Sofia in the First League, played at Ogosta Stadium.
Current form
Montana, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CSKA Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Slavia Sofia, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Septemvri Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Slavia Sofia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Montana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montana 0.8 xG, Slavia Sofia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montana 21%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 54%.
Lower-risk option: Slavia Sofia or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Slavia Sofia or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montana 0–1 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montana21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.35
Slavia Sofia54%fair 1.87 · @1.85
2.31Expected goals
0.81Montana xG
1.51Slavia Sofia xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Montana 0.8 – 1.5 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Sofia to win✗
54%
1.87
1.85
Double chance
Slavia Sofia or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Draw no bet
Slavia Sofia (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Montana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Slavia Sofia to score first✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Montana – last 6
LLLLLL
8 Apr
vs CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Beroe
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Ludogorets
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 6
LWLDWW
10 Apr
vs Septemvri Sofia
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Cherno More Varna
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Spartak Varna
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Beroe
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montana and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Slavia Sofia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Montana have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Slavia Sofia 54%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Montana 0–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
Montana vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
