Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Varna travel to face Septemvri Sofia on Thursday 16 April in the First League, with Stadion Dragalevtsi the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Slavia Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Spartak Varna, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dobrudzha, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.5 xG, Spartak Varna 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 47%, draw 25%, Spartak Varna 28%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia47%fair 2.13 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.35
Spartak Varna28%fair 3.57 · @3.55
2.68Expected goals
1.48Septemvri Sofia xG
1.21Spartak Varna xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.5 – 1.2 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Septemvri Sofia to win✗
47%
2.13
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Septemvri Sofia (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Varna +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Septemvri Sofia to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
WDLLLL
10 Apr
@ Slavia Sofia
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
1–4
L
17 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
WLLLWL
10 Apr
vs Dobrudzha
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Ludogorets
1–5
L
14 Mar
vs CSKA 1948
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Slavia Sofia
0–4
L
3 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Varna 28%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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