Value bet: CSKA 1948 to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCSKA 1948 to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cherno More Varna welcome CSKA 1948 to Ticha for a First League fixture on Wednesday 15 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; CSKA 1948 are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cherno More Varna, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ludogorets, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CSKA 1948, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botev Vratsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CSKA 1948, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Cherno More Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 1.0 xG, CSKA 1948 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 30%, draw 25%, CSKA 1948 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: CSKA 1948 to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 0–1 CSKA 1948. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna30%fair 3.30 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.20
CSKA 194845%fair 2.21 · @2.45
2.56Expected goals
0.99Cherno More Varna xG
1.56CSKA 1948 xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.0 – 1.6 CSKA 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA 1948 to win✓
45%
2.21
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
CSKA 1948 (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Cherno More Varna +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
CSKA 1948 to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948✓
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Cherno More Varna – last 6
DLWDDD
9 Apr
@ Ludogorets
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Slavia Sofia
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
CSKA 1948 – last 6
WLWDWW
10 Apr
vs Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ludogorets
0–3
L
14 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5–0
W
27 Feb
@ Slavia Sofia
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and CSKA 1948.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CSKA 1948 45%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 0–1 CSKA 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
