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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arda Kardzhali v Ludogorets: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Arena Arda
1–0
FT
Arda Kardzhali 16%Draw 23%Ludogorets 61% Expected goals 0.87 – 1.79
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✗61% · @1.60
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✗84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Wednesday 15 April: Arda Kardzhali v Ludogorets in the First League, played at Arena Arda. In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Levski Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ludogorets, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cherno More Varna, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 0.9 xG, Ludogorets 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 16%, draw 23%, Ludogorets 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arda Kardzhali16%fair 6.13 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.55
Ludogorets61%fair 1.65 · @1.60
2.66Expected goals
0.87Arda Kardzhali xG
1.79Ludogorets xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%

From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 0.9 – 1.8 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✗61%1.651.60
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✗84%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.00
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapArda Kardzhali +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

LWWWDW
9 Apr@ Levski Sofia0–1L
4 Aprvs Montana2–1W
21 Mar@ Septemvri Sofia4–1W
16 Marvs Dobrudzha2–0W
4 Mar@ Cherno More Varna0–0D
27 Febvs Spartak Varna1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ludogorets – last 6

DWWWWD
9 Aprvs Cherno More Varna0–0D
5 Aprvs CSKA 19483–0W
19 Mar@ Spartak Varna5–1W
9 Mar@ Montana3–0W
5 Marvs Levski Sofia1–0W
2 Marvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–1D
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arda Kardzhali and Ludogorets.

Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?

On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ludogorets 61%.

How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?

Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?

Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.