Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa welcome Pirin Blagoevgrad to Lokomotiv stadium for a Second League fixture on Saturday 21 February (14:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa are 7th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1.6 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 51%, draw 24%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 25%.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa51%fair 1.98 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Pirin Blagoevgrad25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.64Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa xG
0.78Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1.6 – 0.8 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Attack vs Second League average
-27%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+53%
Our expected goals here
1.88
0.54
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win✗
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Pirin Blagoevgrad +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa / FT Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Belasitsa
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 25%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotiv stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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