Value bet: Hebar 1918 to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Minyor Pernik to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.74
FK Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 1918: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Second League brings FK Minyor Pernik against Hebar 1918 at Stadion Minyor. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Minyor Pernik 1.5 xG, Hebar 1918 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Minyor Pernik 41%, draw 24%, Hebar 1918 34%.
Price worth noting: Hebar 1918 to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Hebar 1918. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Minyor Pernik41%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Hebar 191834%fair 2.90 · @3.20
2.84Expected goals
1.45FK Minyor Pernik xG
1.38Hebar 1918 xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: FK Minyor Pernik 1.5 – 1.4 Hebar 1918 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FK Minyor Pernik
Hebar 1918
Attack vs Second League average
-12%
+34%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.73
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Minyor Pernik to win✗
41%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
FK Minyor Pernik (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Hebar 1918 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
FK Minyor Pernik to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Minyor Pernik / FT FK Minyor Pernik✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
FK Minyor Pernik – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hebar 1918 – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Yantra 2019
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Minyor Pernik and Hebar 1918.
What is the prediction for FK Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 1918?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 1918?
On our numbers FK Minyor Pernik have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hebar 1918 34%.
How many goals will there be in FK Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 1918?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 1918?
Our predicted score is FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Hebar 1918, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 1918?
FK Minyor Pernik vs Hebar 1918 (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Minyor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
