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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportist Svoge v Fratria: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov
0–3
FT
Sportist Svoge 21%Draw 26%Fratria 53% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.52
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultFratria to win ✓53% · @1.75
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.87

Sportist Svoge vs Fratria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Sportist Svoge v Fratria in the Second League, played at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov. In the table, Sportist Svoge are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Fratria are 4th (among the top four) with 25. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportist Svoge 1.0 xG, Fratria 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportist Svoge 21%, draw 26%, Fratria 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fratria or draw (79%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportist Svoge 0–1 Fratria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportist Svoge21%fair 4.75 · @4.10
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Fratria53%fair 1.90 · @1.75
2.48Expected goals
0.96Sportist Svoge xG
1.52Fratria xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: Sportist Svoge 1.0 – 1.5 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sportist SvogeFratria
Attack vs Second League average-27%+20%
Goals conceded vs average+2%-15%
Our expected goals here1.051.42

Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFratria to win ✓53%1.901.75
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betFratria (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapSportist Svoge +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreFratria to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fratria / FT Fratria ✓30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.87–

Recent results

Sportist Svoge – last 1

D
16 Feb@ Ludogorets II2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Fratria – last 2

DD
22 Febvs Marek1–1D
17 Feb@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sportist Svoge and Fratria.

Sportist Svoge vs Fratria head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

More Second League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?

On our numbers Sportist Svoge have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fratria 53%.

How many goals will there be in Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?

Our predicted score is Sportist Svoge 0–1 Fratria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sportist Svoge vs Fratria?

Sportist Svoge vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.