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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pirin Blagoevgrad v Spartak Pleven: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Hristo Botev
Pirin Blagoevgrad 52%Draw 23%Spartak Pleven 25% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.23
52%
Betarazi pick

Pirin Blagoevgrad to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultPirin Blagoevgrad to win ✗52% · @1.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pirin Blagoevgrad welcome Spartak Pleven to Hristo Botev for a Second League fixture on Saturday 28 February (13:00 WAT). In the table, Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Spartak Pleven are 10th (lower half) with 21. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.4 xG, Spartak Pleven 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pirin Blagoevgrad 52%, draw 23%, Spartak Pleven 25%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pirin Blagoevgrad to win (52%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–0 Spartak Pleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pirin Blagoevgrad52%fair 1.92 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @4.20
Spartak Pleven25%fair 4.08 · @7.50
2.65Expected goals
1.41Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
1.23Spartak Pleven xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.4 – 1.2 Spartak Pleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Pirin BlagoevgradSpartak Pleven
Attack vs Second League average-42%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+53%+8%
Our expected goals here1.061.51

Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPirin Blagoevgrad to win ✗52%1.921.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betPirin Blagoevgrad (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapSpartak Pleven +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scorePirin Blagoevgrad to score first ✓50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pirin Blagoevgrad / FT Pirin Blagoevgrad ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 1

W
21 Feb@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Spartak Pleven – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Dunav Ruse0–4L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pirin Blagoevgrad and Spartak Pleven.

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

More Second League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

Our pick is Pirin Blagoevgrad to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Pleven 25%.

How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–0 Spartak Pleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.