Value bet: Fratria to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFratria to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Fratria vs Dunav Ruse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dunav Ruse travel to face Fratria on Monday 11 May in the Second League, with Albena Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT.
Current form
Fratria, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vihren, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Dunav Ruse, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sportist Svoge, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fratria 1.5 xG, Dunav Ruse 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fratria 44%, draw 26%, Dunav Ruse 30%.
Price worth noting: Fratria to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fratria 1–1 Dunav Ruse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fratria44%fair 2.28 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.00
Dunav Ruse30%fair 3.29 · @2.70
2.56Expected goals
1.50Fratria xG
1.06Dunav Ruse xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fratria 1.5 – 1.1 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fratria
Dunav Ruse
Attack vs Second League average
+20%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.78
1.04
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fratria to win✗
44%
2.28
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Fratria (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Dunav Ruse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Fratria to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fratria / FT Fratria✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.62
–
Recent results
Fratria – last 6
LDWDDL
4 May
@ Vihren
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
3–0
W
23 Mar
@ Yantra 2019
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Ludogorets II
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Sevlievo
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dunav Ruse – last 6
LDDDLD
26 Apr
@ Sportist Svoge
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs Marek
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1–1
D
25 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Vihren
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fratria and Dunav Ruse.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fratria vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers Fratria have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dunav Ruse 30%.
How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fratria vs Dunav Ruse?
Our predicted score is Fratria 1–1 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fratria vs Dunav Ruse?
Fratria vs Dunav Ruse (Second League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
