Marek 48%Draw 27%Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 26%Expected goals 1.22 – 1.03
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarek to win ✓48% · @1.80
Double chanceMarek or draw ✓74% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marek welcome Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to Stadion Bonchuk for a Second League fixture on Monday 11 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Marek are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Marek, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dunav Ruse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hebar 1918, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Marek.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marek 1.2 xG, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marek 48%, draw 27%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 26%.
Lower-risk option: Marek or draw (74%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marek 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marek48%fair 2.10 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.28
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas26%fair 3.90 · @3.96
2.26Expected goals
1.22Marek xG
1.03Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Marek 1.2 – 1.0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marek
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Attack vs Second League average
-15%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.07
1.27
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marek to win✓
48%
2.10
1.80
Double chance
Marek or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95
Draw no bet
Marek (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.02
First team to score
Marek to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marek / FT Marek✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
Marek – last 6
DWWDLD
17 Apr
@ Dunav Ruse
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Vihren
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Spartak Pleven
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Yantra 2019
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Fratria
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
WDWDWD
27 Apr
@ Hebar 1918
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Ludogorets II
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dunav Ruse
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CSKA Sofia II
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Marek have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 26%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dunav Ruse2