Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlcoyano to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Baleares travel to face Alcoyano on Sunday 15 February in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, with Estadio El Collao the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Alcoyano are 7th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Atlético Baleares are 10th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcoyano 1.3 xG, Atlético Baleares 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcoyano 40%, draw 28%, Atlético Baleares 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcoyano 1–1 Atlético Baleares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcoyano40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.75
Atlético Baleares32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.30Alcoyano xG
1.10Atlético Baleares xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.3 – 1.1 Atlético Baleares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alcoyano
Atlético Baleares
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average
-2%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.23
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✗
40%
2.49
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Alcoyano (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Baleares +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Alcoyano to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.49
–
Recent results
Alcoyano
No recent results on record.
Atlético Baleares
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Atlético Baleares.
What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Atlético Baleares 32%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–1 Atlético Baleares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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