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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlètic Lleida v Barbastro: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Camp d'Esports de Lleida

Barbastro

Atlètic Lleida 43%Draw 27%Barbastro 30% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.12

61%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating

1.48Odds

Value bet: Barbastro to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtlètic Lleida to win ✗43% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43

Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Atlètic Lleida v Barbastro in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Camp d'Esports de Lleida.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlètic Lleida 1.2 xG, Barbastro 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlètic Lleida 43%, draw 27%, Barbastro 30%.
Price worth noting: Barbastro to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Barbastro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlètic Lleida43%fair 2.33 · @1.90

Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.00

Barbastro30%fair 3.30 · @3.85

2.28Expected goals

1.16Atlètic Lleida xG

1.12Barbastro xG

46%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–112%

0–010%

2–18%

1–27%

From our goals model: Atlètic Lleida 1.2 – 1.1 Barbastro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Atlètic Lleida	Barbastro
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average	-12%	+6%
Goals conceded vs average	+6%	-18%
Our expected goals here	1.06	1.38

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atlètic Lleida to win ✗	43%	2.33	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	73%	1.36	1.25
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	–
Draw no bet	Atlètic Lleida (draw no bet)	59%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	Barbastro +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	80%	1.24	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Atlètic Lleida to score first	46%	2.20	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atlètic Lleida / FT Atlètic Lleida ✗	21%	4.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.43	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlètic Lleida and Barbastro.

Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

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Atlético Baleares0 137%2.40X28%2.70234%2.95 1.2–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✗

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1

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Girona II4

Olot1 140%2.30X29%2.75231%3.20 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓

Espanyol II1

Torrent2 155%1.50X26%3.50220%6.50 1.4–0.9xG 1Espanyol II to win 55%@1.50 ✗

Terrassa1

Castellón II4 152%1.40X20%4.50228%5.50 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.62 ✓

Reddis1

Valencia II1 147%2.00X27%2.90226%3.75 1.6–1.1xG 1XReddis or draw 74%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro?

On our numbers Atlètic Lleida have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barbastro 30%.

How many goals will there be in Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro?

Our predicted score is Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Barbastro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro?

Atlètic Lleida vs Barbastro (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Camp d'Esports de Lleida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.