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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Poblense v Atlético Baleares: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla

Atlético Baleares

Poblense 37%Draw 28%Atlético Baleares 34% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.24

65%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoblense to win ✗37% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.66

Poblense vs Atlético Baleares: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Poblense welcome Atlético Baleares to Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 22 February (12:00 WAT). In the table, Poblense are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Atlético Baleares are 10th (lower half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Poblense 1.2 xG, Atlético Baleares 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Poblense 37%, draw 28%, Atlético Baleares 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poblense 1–1 Atlético Baleares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Poblense37%fair 2.68 · @2.40

Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.70

Atlético Baleares34%fair 2.92 · @2.95

2.49Expected goals

1.25Poblense xG

1.24Atlético Baleares xG

48%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–010%

0–110%

0–08%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Poblense 1.2 – 1.2 Atlético Baleares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Poblense	Atlético Baleares
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average	-16%	+22%
Goals conceded vs average	-8%	+3%
Our expected goals here	1.27	1.37

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Poblense to win ✗	37%	2.68	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.40	1.33
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	52%	1.92	–
Draw no bet	Poblense (draw no bet)	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Atlético Baleares +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	65%	1.55	1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Poblense to score first ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.26	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Poblense / FT Poblense ✗	21%	4.79	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	10%	9.66	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Poblense and Atlético Baleares.

Poblense vs Atlético Baleares head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Ucam Murcia	10	6	1	3	+11	19
3	Castellón II	9	6	0	3	+10	18
4	Castellonense	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	La Nucía	9	5	0	4	+1	15
6	Cieza	9	4	2	3	+6	14
7	Alcoyano	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Lorca Deportiva	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Intercity	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Atlético Baleares	10	3	4	3	0	13
11	Poblense	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	Orihuela	10	3	4	3	-5	13
13	Mallorca II	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Yeclano	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Real Murcia II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Elche II	9	2	2	5	-10	8
17	Valencia II	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Peña Deportiva	10	2	1	7	-6	7

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Andratx1

Porreres2 144%2.15X27%2.90229%3.20 1.4–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.50 ✗

Atlètic Lleida3

Barbastro3 143%1.90X27%3.00230%3.85 1.2–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.48 ✗

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1

Sant Andreu3 132%2.70X28%2.85240%2.55 1.1–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.50 ✗

Girona II4

Olot1 140%2.30X29%2.75231%3.20 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓

Espanyol II1

Torrent2 155%1.50X26%3.50220%6.50 1.4–0.9xG 1Espanyol II to win 55%@1.50 ✗

Terrassa1

Castellón II4 152%1.40X20%4.50228%5.50 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.62 ✓

Reddis1

Valencia II1 147%2.00X27%2.90226%3.75 1.6–1.1xG 1XReddis or draw 74%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Poblense vs Atlético Baleares?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Poblense vs Atlético Baleares?

On our numbers Poblense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Atlético Baleares 34%.

How many goals will there be in Poblense vs Atlético Baleares?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Poblense vs Atlético Baleares?

Our predicted score is Poblense 1–1 Atlético Baleares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Poblense vs Atlético Baleares?

Poblense vs Atlético Baleares (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.