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Atlètic Lleida v Poblense: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain · Camp d'Esports de Lleida

Poblense

Atlètic Lleida 34%Draw 28%Poblense 39% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.13

62%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating

1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoblense to win ✓39% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.27

Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 March the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Atlètic Lleida against Poblense at Camp d'Esports de Lleida. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.

Current form

Atlètic Lleida, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sant Andreu, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlètic Lleida 1.1 xG, Poblense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlètic Lleida 34%, draw 28%, Poblense 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Poblense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlètic Lleida34%fair 2.98 · @3.00

Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.00

Poblense39%fair 2.59 · @2.25

2.23Expected goals

1.11Atlètic Lleida xG

1.13Poblense xG

46%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–012%

0–011%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Atlètic Lleida 1.1 – 1.1 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Atlètic Lleida	Poblense
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average	-12%	-16%
Goals conceded vs average	+6%	-8%
Our expected goals here	1.19	1.09

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Poblense to win ✓	39%	2.59	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	–
Draw no bet	Poblense (draw no bet) ✓	54%	1.87	–
Asian handicap	Atlètic Lleida +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	–
First team to score	Poblense to score first ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Poblense / FT Poblense ✓	20%	4.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	12%	8.27	–

Recent results

Atlètic Lleida – last 3

LDD

1 Mar	@ Sant Andreu	0–1	L
22 Feb	vs Barbastro	3–3	D
15 Feb	@ Terrassa	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Poblense – last 2

22 Feb	vs Atlético Baleares	0–0	D
15 Feb	@ Valencia II	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlètic Lleida and Poblense.

Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Ucam Murcia	10	6	1	3	+11	19
3	Castellón II	9	6	0	3	+10	18
4	Castellonense	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	La Nucía	9	5	0	4	+1	15
6	Cieza	9	4	2	3	+6	14
7	Alcoyano	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Lorca Deportiva	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Intercity	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Atlético Baleares	10	3	4	3	0	13
11	Poblense	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	Orihuela	10	3	4	3	-5	13
13	Mallorca II	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Yeclano	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Real Murcia II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Elche II	9	2	2	5	-10	8
17	Valencia II	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Peña Deportiva	10	2	1	7	-6	7

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Barcelona B1

Atlético Baleares1 150%1.91X26%3.10224%3.70 1.8–1.3xG 1XBarcelona B or draw 76%@1.22 ✓

Andratx1

Castellón II1 135%2.30X24%3.30241%2.62 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✓

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1

Barbastro2 144%1.95X27%2.88228%3.90 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.05 ✓

Torrent1

Porreres0 143%2.25X27%2.88229%3.10 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.00 ✗

Girona II1

Valencia II1 148%2.00X26%3.00226%3.60 1.6–1.1xG 1XGirona II or draw 74%@1.25 ✓

Terrassa1

Olot0 145%1.95X28%3.00227%3.60 1.2–1.0xG 1XTerrassa or draw 73%@1.25 ✓

Reddis0

Alcoyano1 137%2.50X30%2.60233%2.90 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10 ✗

Espanyol II1

Sant Andreu2 133%2.62X29%2.70238%2.75 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense?

On our numbers Atlètic Lleida have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Poblense 39%.

How many goals will there be in Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense?

Our predicted score is Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense?

Atlètic Lleida vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Camp d'Esports de Lleida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.