Ligorna vs Gozzano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Serie D Girone A brings Ligorna against Gozzano at Campo Sportivo Ligorna. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Ligorna are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Gozzano are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.8 xG, Gozzano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 62%, draw 23%, Gozzano 16%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 2–0 Gozzano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna62%fair 1.62 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.52
Gozzano16%fair 6.35 · @5.00
2.61Expected goals
1.83Ligorna xG
0.78Gozzano xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.8 – 0.8 Gozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
62%
1.62
1.59
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Ligorna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Ligorna – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Varese
3–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gozzano – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Imperia
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Gozzano.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Ligorna vs Gozzano?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gozzano 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Gozzano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Gozzano?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 2–0 Gozzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Gozzano?
Ligorna vs Gozzano (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano1
Città di Varese1
Vado0