Value bet: Biellese to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBiellese to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Derthona vs Biellese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Biellese travel to face Derthona on Sunday 1 March in the Serie D Girone A, with Stadio Fausto Coppi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Biellese are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 1.3 xG, Biellese 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 35%, draw 25%, Biellese 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Biellese to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 1–1 Biellese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derthona35%fair 2.84 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.15
Biellese40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.79Expected goals
1.30Derthona xG
1.48Biellese xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Derthona 1.3 – 1.5 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Biellese to win✓
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Draw no bet
Biellese (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Derthona +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Biellese to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Biellese / FT Biellese✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Derthona – last 2
WL
22 Feb
@ Lavagnese
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Chisola
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Biellese – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Asti
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sanremese
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Biellese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Derthona vs Biellese?
On our numbers Derthona have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Biellese 40%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Biellese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Biellese?
Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Biellese?
Derthona vs Biellese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fausto Coppi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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