Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Vado vs Ligorna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Vado v Ligorna in the Serie D Girone A, played at Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina.
Current form
Vado, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Città di Varese, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Ligorna, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gozzano, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Vado.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vado 1.2 xG, Ligorna 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vado 38%, draw 26%, Ligorna 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vado 1–1 Ligorna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vado38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Ligorna36%fair 2.80 · @2.90
2.53Expected goals
1.23Vado xG
1.30Ligorna xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vado 1.2 – 1.3 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vado to win✗
38%
2.62
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Vado (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Vado +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Vado – last 3
LDW
1 Mar
@ Città di Varese
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Club Milano
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ligorna – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Gozzano
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Varese
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vado and Ligorna.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Vado vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Vado have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ligorna 36%.
How many goals will there be in Vado vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vado vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Vado 1–1 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vado vs Ligorna?
Vado vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Varese1
Cairese2
NovaRomentin2
Lavagnese2