Value bet: Asti to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCittà di Varese to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 10.72
Asti vs Città di Varese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Serie D Girone A brings Asti against Città di Varese at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Asti, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sanremese, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Città di Varese, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vado, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Asti, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Città di Varese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Asti 1.3 xG, Città di Varese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Asti 36%, draw 26%, Città di Varese 38%.
Price worth noting: Asti to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asti 1–1 Città di Varese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Asti36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.10
Città di Varese38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
2.62Expected goals
1.34Asti xG
1.28Città di Varese xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Asti 1.3 – 1.3 Città di Varese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Città di Varese to win✓
38%
2.62
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Città di Varese (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Città di Varese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Asti to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asti / FT Asti✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Asti – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
@ Sanremese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Biellese
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs NovaRomentin
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Città di Varese – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
vs Vado
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ NovaRomentin
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Ligorna
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asti and Città di Varese.
What is the prediction for Asti vs Città di Varese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Asti vs Città di Varese?
On our numbers Asti have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Città di Varese 38%.
How many goals will there be in Asti vs Città di Varese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asti vs Città di Varese?
Our predicted score is Asti 1–1 Città di Varese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Asti vs Città di Varese?
Asti vs Città di Varese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vado0
Cairese2
NovaRomentin2
Lavagnese2