Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.21
Valenzana vs Ligorna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Valenzana v Ligorna in the Serie D Girone A, played at Stadio Comunale. In the table, Valenzana are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Ligorna are 5th (upper half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Valenzana, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Vado, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Ligorna, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lavagnese, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Valenzana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valenzana 1.0 xG, Ligorna 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valenzana 20%, draw 25%, Ligorna 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ligorna to win (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenzana 0–1 Ligorna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valenzana20%fair 5.12 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Ligorna56%fair 1.79 · @1.67
2.59Expected goals
0.97Valenzana xG
1.62Ligorna xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Valenzana 1.0 – 1.6 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Valenzana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.21
–
Recent results
Valenzana – last 4
LWLL
22 Mar
@ Vado
1–6
L
1 Mar
@ Club Milano
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Saluzzo
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ Imperia
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Ligorna – last 5
WDLWW
22 Mar
vs Lavagnese
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vado
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Gozzano
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Varese
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenzana and Ligorna.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Valenzana vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Valenzana have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ligorna 56%.
How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenzana vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Valenzana 0–1 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valenzana vs Ligorna?
Valenzana vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Varese0
Cairese2
Vado1