Value bet: Asti to win @ 2.52 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAsti to win ✗45% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Asti vs Celle Varazze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Asti v Celle Varazze in the Serie D Girone A, played at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia. In the table, Asti are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Celle Varazze are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Asti, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Derthona, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Celle Varazze, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sanremese, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Asti, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.6 for Celle Varazze.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Asti 1.5 xG, Celle Varazze 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Asti 45%, draw 26%, Celle Varazze 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Asti to win @2.52 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asti 1–0 Celle Varazze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Asti45%fair 2.20 · @2.52
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.16
Celle Varazze29%fair 3.49 · @2.50
2.41Expected goals
1.48Asti xG
0.93Celle Varazze xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Asti 1.5 – 0.9 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asti to win✗
45%
2.20
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Asti (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Celle Varazze +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Asti to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asti / FT Asti✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Asti – last 5
DLWLW
22 Mar
@ Derthona
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Città di Varese
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sanremese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Biellese
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs NovaRomentin
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Celle Varazze – last 5
WLLLL
22 Mar
vs Sanremese
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Biellese
1–6
L
1 Mar
vs NovaRomentin
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Chisola
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cairese
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asti and Celle Varazze.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Asti vs Celle Varazze?
On our numbers Asti have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Celle Varazze 29%.
How many goals will there be in Asti vs Celle Varazze?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asti vs Celle Varazze?
Our predicted score is Asti 1–0 Celle Varazze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Asti vs Celle Varazze?
Asti vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Città di Varese0
Cairese2
Vado1