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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Castellanzese v Villa Valle: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy · Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Castellanzese 37%Draw 28%Villa Valle 35% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.14
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultCastellanzese to win ✓37% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.80

Castellanzese vs Villa Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Castellanzese v Villa Valle in the Serie D Girone B, played at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Castellanzese 1.3 xG, Villa Valle 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Castellanzese 37%, draw 28%, Villa Valle 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellanzese 1–1 Villa Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Castellanzese37%fair 2.69 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
Villa Valle35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
2.42Expected goals
1.28Castellanzese xG
1.14Villa Valle xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.3 – 1.1 Villa Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCastellanzese to win ✓37%2.692.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betCastellanzese (draw no bet) ✓51%1.94–
Asian handicapVilla Valle +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCastellanzese to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese ✓23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.80–

Recent results

Castellanzese

No recent results on record.

Villa Valle

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Castellanzese and Villa Valle.

Castellanzese vs Villa Valle head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Villa Valle?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Castellanzese vs Villa Valle?

On our numbers Castellanzese have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Villa Valle 35%.

How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Villa Valle?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Villa Valle?

Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 Villa Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Castellanzese vs Villa Valle?

Castellanzese vs Villa Valle (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.