USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
USD Casatese welcome Leon Monza e Brianza to Campo Sportivo Comunale for a Serie D Girone B fixture on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT).
Current form
USD Casatese, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pavia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leon Monza e Brianza, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chievo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leon Monza e Brianza, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for USD Casatese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USD Casatese 1.3 xG, Leon Monza e Brianza 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USD Casatese 43%, draw 26%, Leon Monza e Brianza 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: USD Casatese 1–1 Leon Monza e Brianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USD Casatese43%fair 2.33 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Leon Monza e Brianza31%fair 3.22 · @3.35
2.49Expected goals
1.34USD Casatese xG
1.16Leon Monza e Brianza xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.3 – 1.2 Leon Monza e Brianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USD Casatese to win✓
43%
2.33
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
USD Casatese (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Leon Monza e Brianza +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
USD Casatese to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
USD Casatese – last 6
WWWLLD
19 Apr
vs Pavia
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Castellanzese
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Villa Valle
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Varesina
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Sondrio
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Brusaporto
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leon Monza e Brianza – last 6
DDWWWW
26 Apr
vs Chievo
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Scanzorosciate
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Pavia
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Varesina
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Vogherese
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Brusaporto
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USD Casatese and Leon Monza e Brianza.
What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
On our numbers USD Casatese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leon Monza e Brianza 31%.
How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Our predicted score is USD Casatese 1–1 Leon Monza e Brianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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