Milan II 75%Draw 16%Vogherese 9%Expected goals 2.61 – 0.84
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMilan II to win ✓75% · @1.25
Double chanceMilan II or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Milan II vs Vogherese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vogherese travel to face Milan II on Sunday 3 May in the Serie D Girone B, with Stadio Felice Chinetti the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Milan II, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Castellanzese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Vogherese, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 5 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Milan II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Vogherese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Milan II 2.6 xG, Vogherese 0.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Milan II 75%, draw 16%, Vogherese 9%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Milan II 2–0 Vogherese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Milan II75%fair 1.33 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.42 · @4.75
Vogherese9%fair 10.68 · @9.50
3.45Expected goals
2.61Milan II xG
0.84Vogherese xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Milan II 2.6 – 0.8 Vogherese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Milan II to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Double chance
Milan II or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Milan II (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Milan II -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.12
First team to score
Milan II to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Milan II ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Milan II / FT Milan II✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Milan II – last 6
WLLDDW
26 Apr
@ Castellanzese
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Varesina
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Real Calepina
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Villa Valle
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Sondrio
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Oltrepò
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vogherese – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Apr
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1–6
L
2 Apr
@ Chievo
1–4
L
22 Mar
@ Leon Monza e Brianza
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Scanzorosciate
1–6
L
1 Mar
@ Castellanzese
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Villa Valle
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Milan II and Vogherese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Milan II vs Vogherese?
On our numbers Milan II have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Vogherese 9%.
How many goals will there be in Milan II vs Vogherese?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Milan II vs Vogherese?
Our predicted score is Milan II 2–0 Vogherese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Milan II vs Vogherese?
Milan II vs Vogherese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Felice Chinetti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
USD Casatese1