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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Conegliano v Calvi Noale: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone C · Italy · Stadio comunale Narciso Soldan
1–0
FT
Conegliano 54%Draw 26%Calvi Noale 21% Expected goals 1.32 – 0.83
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultConegliano to win ✓54% · @1.57
Double chanceConegliano or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.52

Conegliano vs Calvi Noale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Calvi Noale travel to face Conegliano on Sunday 22 March in the Serie D Girone C, with Stadio comunale Narciso Soldan the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Conegliano are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Calvi Noale are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Conegliano, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brian Lignano, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Calvi Noale, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mestre, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Conegliano, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Calvi Noale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Conegliano 1.3 xG, Calvi Noale 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Conegliano 54%, draw 26%, Calvi Noale 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conegliano 1–0 Calvi Noale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Conegliano54%fair 1.87 · @1.57
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.60
Calvi Noale21%fair 4.78 · @5.00
2.15Expected goals
1.32Conegliano xG
0.83Calvi Noale xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Conegliano 1.3 – 0.8 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConegliano to win ✓54%1.871.57
Double chanceConegliano or draw ✓79%1.261.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betConegliano (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapCalvi Noale +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreConegliano to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Conegliano / FT Conegliano ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.52–

Recent results

Conegliano – last 4

WDWW
15 Mar@ Brian Lignano1–0W
1 Marvs Bassano Virtus0–0D
22 Feb@ Campodarsego2–0W
15 Febvs Portogruaro2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Calvi Noale – last 4

LLLL
15 Marvs Mestre1–2L
1 Mar@ FC Obermais0–1L
22 Febvs San Luigi0–2L
15 Feb@ Treviso0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Conegliano and Calvi Noale.

Conegliano vs Calvi Noale head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cjarlins Muzane11812+1225
2Luparense11560+1221
3Sandona11542+519
4Clodiense11542+319
5Campodarsego11533+318
6Mestre11452+417
7Legnago Salus11443+316
8Este11515+116
9Conegliano11434-315
10Bassano Virtus11353014
11FC Obermais11344-213
12Triestina11344-313
13LME11344-413
14Altavilla11254+511
15Virtus Bolzano11326-1611
16Calvi Noale11245-410
17Schio11155-58
18Brian Lignano11128-115

More Serie D Girone C predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?

On our numbers Conegliano have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Calvi Noale 21%.

How many goals will there be in Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?

Our predicted score is Conegliano 1–0 Calvi Noale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?

Conegliano vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio comunale Narciso Soldan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.