Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
Picks by market
ResultTreviso to win ✗46% · @1.67
Double chanceTreviso or draw ✗76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Treviso vs Luparense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treviso welcome Luparense for a Serie D Girone C fixture on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT).
Current form
Treviso, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cjarlins Muzane, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Luparense, last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Altavilla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Treviso, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Luparense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treviso 1.1 xG, Luparense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treviso 46%, draw 30%, Luparense 24%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treviso 1–0 Luparense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treviso46%fair 2.17 · @1.67
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @3.35
Luparense24%fair 4.22 · @5.06
2.05Expected goals
1.10Treviso xG
0.94Luparense xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Treviso 1.1 – 0.9 Luparense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treviso to win✗
46%
2.17
1.67
Double chance
Treviso or draw✗
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.75
Draw no bet
Treviso (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Luparense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Treviso to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treviso / FT Treviso✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Recent results
Treviso – last 4
DWDW
15 Mar
@ Cjarlins Muzane
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Clodiense
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Legnago Salus
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Calvi Noale
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Luparense – last 4
DLWD
15 Mar
vs Altavilla
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Legnago Salus
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cjarlins Muzane
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Brian Lignano
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treviso and Luparense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Treviso vs Luparense?
On our numbers Treviso have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Luparense 24%.
How many goals will there be in Treviso vs Luparense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treviso vs Luparense?
Our predicted score is Treviso 1–0 Luparense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Treviso vs Luparense?
Treviso vs Luparense (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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