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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Correggese v Pistoiese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone D · Italy · Stadio Comunale Walter Borelli
0–3
FT
Correggese 13%Draw 21%Pistoiese 65% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.73
65%
Betarazi pick

Pistoiese to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultPistoiese to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.49

Correggese vs Pistoiese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Serie D Girone D brings Correggese against Pistoiese at Stadio Comunale Walter Borelli. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Correggese are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Pistoiese are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Correggese 0.7 xG, Pistoiese 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Correggese 13%, draw 21%, Pistoiese 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pistoiese to win (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Correggese 0–1 Pistoiese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Correggese13%fair 7.55 · @7.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.20
Pistoiese65%fair 1.53 · @1.36
2.42Expected goals
0.69Correggese xG
1.73Pistoiese xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%

From our goals model: Correggese 0.7 – 1.7 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPistoiese to win ✓65%1.531.36
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.74–
Draw no betPistoiese (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapPistoiese -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scorePistoiese to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultPistoiese ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese ✓39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.49–

Recent results

Correggese – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Pro Palazzolo0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Pistoiese – last 1

W
18 Febvs Ancona2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Correggese and Pistoiese.

Correggese vs Pistoiese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Correggese vs Pistoiese?

Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Correggese vs Pistoiese?

On our numbers Correggese have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pistoiese 65%.

How many goals will there be in Correggese vs Pistoiese?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Correggese vs Pistoiese?

Our predicted score is Correggese 0–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Correggese vs Pistoiese?

Correggese vs Pistoiese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Walter Borelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.