Value bet: Rovato Vertovese to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRovato Vertovese to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rovato Vertovese travel to face Progresso on Sunday 22 February in the Serie D Girone D, with Stadio Comunale Progresso the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progresso 1.1 xG, Rovato Vertovese 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progresso 32%, draw 27%, Rovato Vertovese 42%.
Price worth noting: Rovato Vertovese to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progresso 1–1 Rovato Vertovese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progresso32%fair 3.14 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.90
Rovato Vertovese42%fair 2.40 · @2.70
2.52Expected goals
1.11Progresso xG
1.41Rovato Vertovese xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Progresso 1.1 – 1.4 Rovato Vertovese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rovato Vertovese to win✗
42%
2.40
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Rovato Vertovese (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Progresso +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Rovato Vertovese to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rovato Vertovese / FT Rovato Vertovese✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.80
–
Recent results
Progresso
No recent results on record.
Rovato Vertovese – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Sant'Angelo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progresso and Rovato Vertovese.
What is the prediction for Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
On our numbers Progresso have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rovato Vertovese 42%.
How many goals will there be in Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our predicted score is Progresso 1–1 Rovato Vertovese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Correggese0
Pistoiese3
Tuttocuoio0
Sangiuliano City1
Piacenza0
Pro Palazzolo1
Lentigione4
Imolese0
Trevigliese1
Cittadella Vis Modena1
Pro Sesto2
Coriano1