Progresso 31%Draw 27%Sangiuliano City 42%Expected goals 1.11 – 1.32
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultSangiuliano City to win ✓42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.60
Progresso vs Sangiuliano City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Progresso welcome Sangiuliano City to Stadio Comunale Progresso for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progresso 1.1 xG, Sangiuliano City 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progresso 31%, draw 27%, Sangiuliano City 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progresso 1–1 Sangiuliano City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progresso31%fair 3.18 · @2.75
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.00
Sangiuliano City42%fair 2.38 · @2.38
2.43Expected goals
1.11Progresso xG
1.32Sangiuliano City xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Progresso 1.1 – 1.3 Sangiuliano City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sangiuliano City to win✓
42%
2.38
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Sangiuliano City (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Progresso +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Sangiuliano City to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sangiuliano City / FT Sangiuliano City✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.60
–
Recent results
Progresso – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Rovato Vertovese
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sangiuliano City – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Sant'Angelo
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Tuttocuoio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progresso and Sangiuliano City.
What is the prediction for Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
On our numbers Progresso have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sangiuliano City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
Our predicted score is Progresso 1–1 Sangiuliano City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
Progresso vs Sangiuliano City (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.