Pro Sesto 40%Draw 28%Desenzano Calvina 32%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.96
72%
Betarazi pick
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultPro Sesto to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · fair 1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pro Sesto welcome Desenzano Calvina to Stadio Ernesto Breda for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pro Sesto 1.3 xG, Desenzano Calvina 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pro Sesto 40%, draw 28%, Desenzano Calvina 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (72%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pro Sesto 1–0 Desenzano Calvina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pro Sesto40%fair 2.48 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.05
Desenzano Calvina32%fair 3.11 · @2.55
2.22Expected goals
1.26Pro Sesto xG
0.96Desenzano Calvina xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pro Sesto 1.3 – 1.0 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win✗
40%
2.48
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Pro Sesto (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Desenzano Calvina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Pro Sesto to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Recent results
Pro Sesto – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Coriano
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Desenzano Calvina – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Crema
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Sant'Angelo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Sesto and Desenzano Calvina.
What is the prediction for Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 72% chance.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina?
On our numbers Pro Sesto have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Desenzano Calvina 32%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our predicted score is Pro Sesto 1–0 Desenzano Calvina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina?
Pro Sesto vs Desenzano Calvina (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sasso Marconi Zola1
Tuttocuoio0
Pro Palazzolo4
Trevigliese1
Rovato Vertovese1
Piacenza3
Imolese0
Progresso0
Sangiuliano City1