Value bet: Piacenza to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLentigione to win ✓37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Lentigione vs Piacenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piacenza travel to face Lentigione on Sunday 29 March in the Serie D Girone D, with Immergas Stadium - Levantini the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Lentigione, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pistoiese, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Piacenza, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Progresso, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Piacenza, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Lentigione.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lentigione 1.2 xG, Piacenza 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lentigione 37%, draw 26%, Piacenza 37%.
Price worth noting: Piacenza to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lentigione 1–1 Piacenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lentigione37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Piacenza37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.19Lentigione xG
1.33Piacenza xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lentigione 1.2 – 1.3 Piacenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✓
37%
2.69
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Lentigione (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Lentigione +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Piacenza to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piacenza / FT Piacenza✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Lentigione – last 4
DDWW
25 Mar
vs Pistoiese
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Correggese
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Pro Palazzolo
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Imolese
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piacenza – last 4
WWWW
22 Mar
vs Progresso
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Correggese
3–1
W
1 Mar
vs Tuttocuoio
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Piacenza.
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Piacenza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lentigione vs Piacenza?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Piacenza 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Piacenza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Piacenza?
Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–1 Piacenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lentigione vs Piacenza?
Lentigione vs Piacenza (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.