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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lentigione v Piacenza: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone D · Italy · Immergas Stadium - Levantini
3–1
FT
Lentigione 37%Draw 26%Piacenza 37% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.33
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Piacenza to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLentigione to win ✓37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Lentigione vs Piacenza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Piacenza travel to face Lentigione on Sunday 29 March in the Serie D Girone D, with Immergas Stadium - Levantini the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Lentigione, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pistoiese, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Piacenza, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Progresso, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Piacenza, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Lentigione.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lentigione 1.2 xG, Piacenza 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lentigione 37%, draw 26%, Piacenza 37%.
  • Price worth noting: Piacenza to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lentigione 1–1 Piacenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lentigione37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Piacenza37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.19Lentigione xG
1.33Piacenza xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lentigione 1.2 – 1.3 Piacenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLentigione to win ✓37%2.692.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betLentigione (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapLentigione +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scorePiacenza to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Piacenza / FT Piacenza ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Lentigione – last 4

DDWW
25 Marvs Pistoiese1–1D
22 Mar@ Correggese1–1D
1 Mar@ Pro Palazzolo2–1W
22 Febvs Imolese4–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Piacenza – last 4

WWWW
22 Marvs Progresso3–0W
15 Mar@ Correggese3–1W
1 Marvs Tuttocuoio4–0W
15 Feb@ Sasso Marconi Zola2–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Piacenza.

Lentigione vs Piacenza head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Piacenza?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Lentigione vs Piacenza?

On our numbers Lentigione have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Piacenza 37%.

How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Piacenza?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Piacenza?

Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–1 Piacenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lentigione vs Piacenza?

Lentigione vs Piacenza (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.