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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sant'Angelo v Pistoiese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone D · Italy · Stadio Carlo Chiesa
1–3
FT
Sant'Angelo 17%Draw 26%Pistoiese 57% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.64
57%
Betarazi pick

Pistoiese to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultPistoiese to win ✓57% · @1.60
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.01

Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Sant'Angelo v Pistoiese in the Serie D Girone D, played at Stadio Carlo Chiesa. In the table, Sant'Angelo are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Pistoiese are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sant'Angelo, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Imolese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Pistoiese, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lentigione, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pistoiese, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Sant'Angelo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sant'Angelo 0.8 xG, Pistoiese 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sant'Angelo 17%, draw 26%, Pistoiese 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pistoiese or draw (83%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pistoiese to win (57%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sant'Angelo 0–1 Pistoiese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sant'Angelo17%fair 5.87 · @5.20
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.45
Pistoiese57%fair 1.75 · @1.60
2.44Expected goals
0.80Sant'Angelo xG
1.64Pistoiese xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%

From our goals model: Sant'Angelo 0.8 – 1.6 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPistoiese to win ✓57%1.751.60
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓83%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betPistoiese (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapSant'Angelo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scorePistoiese to score first ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.01–

Recent results

Sant'Angelo – last 4

WWLL
15 Marvs Imolese2–0W
1 Mar@ Sangiuliano City2–1W
22 Febvs Desenzano Calvina1–2L
15 Feb@ Rovato Vertovese0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pistoiese – last 3

DWW
25 Mar@ Lentigione1–1D
22 Feb@ Correggese3–0W
18 Febvs Ancona2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sant'Angelo and Pistoiese.

Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?

Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?

On our numbers Sant'Angelo have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pistoiese 57%.

How many goals will there be in Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?

Our predicted score is Sant'Angelo 0–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese?

Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Chiesa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.