Grosseto 61%Draw 24%Orvietana Calcio 15%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.81
61%
Betarazi pick
Grosseto to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultGrosseto to win ✗61% · @1.25
Double chanceGrosseto or draw ✗85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Grosseto vs Orvietana Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grosseto welcome Orvietana Calcio to Stadio Carlo Zecchini for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 22 February (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grosseto 1.5 xG, Orvietana Calcio 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grosseto 61%, draw 24%, Orvietana Calcio 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grosseto to win (61%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grosseto 1–0 Orvietana Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grosseto61%fair 1.64 · @1.25
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @4.75
Orvietana Calcio15%fair 6.55 · @10.00
2.35Expected goals
1.54Grosseto xG
0.81Orvietana Calcio xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Grosseto 1.5 – 0.8 Orvietana Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Grosseto
Orvietana Calcio
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
-12%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.14
0.83
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✗
61%
1.64
1.25
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Grosseto (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Orvietana Calcio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Grosseto to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Recent results
Grosseto – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Orvietana Calcio – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Montevarchi Calcio
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grosseto and Orvietana Calcio.
What is the prediction for Grosseto vs Orvietana Calcio?
Our pick is Grosseto to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grosseto vs Orvietana Calcio?
On our numbers Grosseto have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orvietana Calcio 15%.
How many goals will there be in Grosseto vs Orvietana Calcio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grosseto vs Orvietana Calcio?
Our predicted score is Grosseto 1–0 Orvietana Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Grosseto vs Orvietana Calcio?
Grosseto vs Orvietana Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Prato1
Terranuova Traiana0
Seravezza0
Tau Altopascio0
San Donato Tavarnelle0
Poggibonsi1