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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Seravezza v Poggibonsi: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone E · Italy · Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo

Seravezza

DDD
2–2
FT

Poggibonsi

LWW
Seravezza 59%Draw 25%Poggibonsi 16% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.76
59%
Betarazi pick

Seravezza to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultSeravezza to win ✗59% · @1.53
Double chanceSeravezza or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68

Seravezza vs Poggibonsi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Poggibonsi travel to face Seravezza on Sunday 15 March in the Serie D Girone E, with Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Seravezza, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gavorrano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Poggibonsi, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Grosseto, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Poggibonsi, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Seravezza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Seravezza 1.6 xG, Poggibonsi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Seravezza 59%, draw 25%, Poggibonsi 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Seravezza to win (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Seravezza 1–0 Poggibonsi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Seravezza59%fair 1.70 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.50
Poggibonsi16%fair 6.42 · @5.50
2.39Expected goals
1.63Seravezza xG
0.76Poggibonsi xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Seravezza 1.6 – 0.8 Poggibonsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SeravezzaPoggibonsi
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average+12%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-5%
Our expected goals here1.620.81

Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSeravezza to win ✗59%1.701.53
Double chanceSeravezza or draw ✓84%1.181.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betSeravezza (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapPoggibonsi +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSeravezza to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Seravezza / FT Seravezza ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.68–

Recent results

Seravezza – last 3

DDD
1 Mar@ Gavorrano1–1D
22 Febvs Tau Altopascio0–0D
15 Feb@ Scandicci1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Poggibonsi – last 3

LWW
1 Marvs Grosseto0–1L
22 Feb@ San Donato Tavarnelle1–0W
15 Febvs Foligno Calcio1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Seravezza and Poggibonsi.

Seravezza vs Poggibonsi head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

More Serie D Girone E predictions

League hub
FT Sporting Trestina1 Orvietana Calcio1 145%2.15X27%3.15229%3.24 1.4–1.0xG 12Either team to win 73% ✗
FT San Donato Tavarnelle0 Terranuova Traiana1 138%2.50X29%2.90233%2.70 1.1–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Prato3 Robur Siena3 144%2.20X24%3.30232%2.80 1.5–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@1.80 ✗
FT Montevarchi Calcio1 Tau Altopascio0 143%2.95X26%3.10232%2.33 1.4–1.0xG 12Either team to win 74% ✓
FT Foligno Calcio2 Gavorrano0 148%1.86X27%3.45225%3.80 1.3–1.0xG 1XFoligno Calcio or draw 75% ✓
FT Grosseto1 Scandicci1 160%1.42X24%3.80216%7.00 1.6–0.8xG 1Grosseto to win 60%@1.42 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seravezza vs Poggibonsi?

Our pick is Seravezza to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Seravezza vs Poggibonsi?

On our numbers Seravezza have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Poggibonsi 16%.

How many goals will there be in Seravezza vs Poggibonsi?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Seravezza vs Poggibonsi?

Our predicted score is Seravezza 1–0 Poggibonsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Seravezza vs Poggibonsi?

Seravezza vs Poggibonsi (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.