Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Recanatese v Atletico Ascoli in the Serie D Girone F, played at Nicola Tubaldi. In the table, Recanatese are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Atletico Ascoli are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recanatese 1.1 xG, Atletico Ascoli 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recanatese 29%, draw 26%, Atletico Ascoli 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recanatese 1–1 Atletico Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recanatese29%fair 3.49 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
Atletico Ascoli45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
2.59Expected goals
1.12Recanatese xG
1.47Atletico Ascoli xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Recanatese 1.1 – 1.5 Atletico Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Ascoli to win✗
45%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Atletico Ascoli (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Recanatese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Atletico Ascoli to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Ascoli / FT Atletico Ascoli✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Recent results
Recanatese – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Ostia Mare
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atletico Ascoli – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Castelfidardo Calcio
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recanatese and Atletico Ascoli.
What is the prediction for Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
On our numbers Recanatese have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Ascoli 45%.
How many goals will there be in Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Recanatese 1–1 Atletico Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chieti1
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