Value bet: Unipomezia to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnipomezia to win ✓43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Recanatese vs Unipomezia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Unipomezia travel to face Recanatese on Sunday 1 March in the Serie D Girone F, with Nicola Tubaldi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recanatese 1.4 xG, Unipomezia 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recanatese 33%, draw 24%, Unipomezia 43%.
Price worth noting: Unipomezia to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recanatese 1–2 Unipomezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recanatese33%fair 3.04 · @2.41
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Unipomezia43%fair 2.31 · @2.60
3.16Expected goals
1.41Recanatese xG
1.75Unipomezia xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Recanatese 1.4 – 1.8 Unipomezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unipomezia to win✓
43%
2.31
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Unipomezia (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Recanatese +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Unipomezia to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unipomezia / FT Unipomezia✓
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Recanatese – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Atletico Ascoli
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Ostia Mare
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Unipomezia – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Ancona
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Victor San Marino
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recanatese and Unipomezia.
What is the prediction for Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance.
Who will win Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
On our numbers Recanatese have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Unipomezia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
Our predicted score is Recanatese 1–2 Unipomezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
Recanatese vs Unipomezia (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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