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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ancona v Maceratese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone F · Italy · Stadio del Conero
4–0
FT
Ancona 65%Draw 21%Maceratese 14% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.82
65%
Betarazi pick

Ancona to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.46Odds

Picks by market

ResultAncona to win ✓65% · @1.46
Double chanceAncona or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.39

Ancona vs Maceratese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Ancona v Maceratese in the Serie D Girone F, played at Stadio del Conero. In the table, Ancona are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Maceratese are 13th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Ancona, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Unipomezia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ancona 2.0 xG, Maceratese 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ancona 65%, draw 21%, Maceratese 14%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ancona to win (65%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ancona 2–0 Maceratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ancona65%fair 1.53 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.00
Maceratese14%fair 7.30 · @6.20
2.86Expected goals
2.04Ancona xG
0.82Maceratese xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ancona 2.0 – 0.8 Maceratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAncona to win ✓65%1.531.46
Double chanceAncona or draw ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betAncona (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapAncona -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreAncona to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultAncona ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ancona / FT Ancona ✓42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

Ancona – last 3

DLW
22 Feb@ Unipomezia1–1D
18 Feb@ Pistoiese0–2L
15 Febvs Chieti4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Maceratese – last 1

W
22 Febvs Notaresco2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ancona and Maceratese.

Ancona vs Maceratese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone F table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Teramo11821+1326
2L'Aquila11740+1325
3Ancona11632+1021
4Foligno Calcio11623+320
5Vigor Senigallia11614-119
6Fossombrone11524-217
7Montecchio Gallo11443+316
8Notaresco11443+216
9Real Giulianova11515016
10Atletico Ascoli11434+215
11Termoli Calcio11344-113
12Lanciano FC11335-312
13Maceratese11335-412
14Sporting Trestina11326-711
15Recanatese11236-59
16Pietralunga11236-69
17Santegidiese11236-89
18Angelana11218-97

More Serie D Girone F predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ancona vs Maceratese?

Our pick is Ancona to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Ancona vs Maceratese?

On our numbers Ancona have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maceratese 14%.

How many goals will there be in Ancona vs Maceratese?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ancona vs Maceratese?

Our predicted score is Ancona 2–0 Maceratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ancona vs Maceratese?

Ancona vs Maceratese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.