Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓9% · fair 11.22
Ancona vs Sammaurese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Serie D Girone F brings Ancona against Sammaurese at Stadio del Conero. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Ancona, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Teramo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sammaurese, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Termoli Calcio, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ancona, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Sammaurese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ancona 2.1 xG, Sammaurese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ancona 70%, draw 18%, Sammaurese 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ancona 2–1 Sammaurese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ancona70%fair 1.42 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @5.50
Sammaurese12%fair 8.41 · @15.00
2.82Expected goals
2.08Ancona xG
0.74Sammaurese xG
43%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ancona 2.1 – 0.7 Sammaurese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ancona to win✓
70%
1.42
1.17
Double chance
Ancona or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Ancona (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Ancona -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Ancona to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Ancona ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ancona / FT Ancona✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Ancona – last 6
LWDWWD
2 Apr
vs Teramo
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sora
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Real Giulianova
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Maceratese
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Unipomezia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sammaurese – last 6
LLLLWL
15 Apr
@ Termoli Calcio
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Ostia Mare
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Notaresco
0–4
L
15 Mar
@ Fossombrone
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teramo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ancona and Sammaurese.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ancona vs Sammaurese?
On our numbers Ancona have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sammaurese 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ancona vs Sammaurese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ancona vs Sammaurese?
Our predicted score is Ancona 2–1 Sammaurese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ancona vs Sammaurese?
Ancona vs Sammaurese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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