Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.53
Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Atletico Ascoli v Fossombrone in the Serie D Girone F, played at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. In the table, Atletico Ascoli are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Fossombrone are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atletico Ascoli, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sora, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Fossombrone, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Victor San Marino, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Ascoli 1.6 xG, Fossombrone 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Ascoli 58%, draw 23%, Fossombrone 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Ascoli to win (58%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Ascoli 1–0 Fossombrone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Ascoli58%fair 1.74 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
Fossombrone19%fair 5.28 · @5.00
2.49Expected goals
1.59Atletico Ascoli xG
0.89Fossombrone xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Ascoli 1.6 – 0.9 Fossombrone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Ascoli to win✗
58%
1.74
1.53
Double chance
Atletico Ascoli or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Atletico Ascoli (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Fossombrone +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Atletico Ascoli to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Ascoli / FT Atletico Ascoli✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.53
–
Recent results
Atletico Ascoli – last 6
WLWLWD
2 Apr
vs Sora
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Real Giulianova
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Maceratese
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Unipomezia
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Chieti
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Recanatese
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fossombrone – last 6
LWDWDL
2 Apr
@ Victor San Marino
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs L'Aquila
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Termoli Calcio
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Sammaurese
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ostia Mare
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Ascoli and Fossombrone.
What is the prediction for Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
Our pick is Atletico Ascoli to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
On our numbers Atletico Ascoli have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fossombrone 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
Our predicted score is Atletico Ascoli 1–0 Fossombrone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sammaurese0
Chieti1