Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Virtus Francavilla v Gravina in the Serie D Girone H, played at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II. In the table, Virtus Francavilla are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Gravina are 4th (among the top four) with 20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Francavilla 1.6 xG, Gravina 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Francavilla 51%, draw 25%, Gravina 24%.
Lower-risk option: Virtus Francavilla or draw (76%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Virtus Francavilla or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Gravina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Francavilla51%fair 1.96 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Gravina24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
2.57Expected goals
1.57Virtus Francavilla xG
1.00Gravina xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.6 – 1.0 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Francavilla to win✗
51%
1.96
1.91
Double chance
Virtus Francavilla or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Virtus Francavilla (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Gravina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Virtus Francavilla to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.34
–
Recent results
Virtus Francavilla – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Fasano
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gravina – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Francavilla
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Gravina.
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gravina 24%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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