Città di Fasano 50%Draw 25%Sarnese 25%Expected goals 1.53 – 1.20
50%
Betarazi pick
Città di Fasano to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.74
3/10Rating
1.74Odds
Picks by market
ResultCittà di Fasano to win50% · @1.74
Double chanceCittà di Fasano or draw75% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–04% · fair 25.71
Città di Fasano vs Sarnese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Città di Fasano v Sarnese in the Serie D Girone H, played at Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Città di Fasano 1.5 xG, Sarnese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Città di Fasano 50%, draw 25%, Sarnese 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Città di Fasano to win (50%, odds 1.74). Most likely score in line with that pick: Città di Fasano 1–0 Sarnese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Città di Fasano50%fair 1.98 · @1.74
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60
Sarnese25%fair 4.08 · @4.23
2.74Expected goals
1.53Città di Fasano xG
1.20Sarnese xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Città di Fasano 1.5 – 1.2 Sarnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Città di Fasano to win
50%
1.98
1.74
Double chance
Città di Fasano or draw
75%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Città di Fasano (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Sarnese +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Città di Fasano to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Città di Fasano / FT Città di Fasano
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
4%
25.71
–
Recent results
Città di Fasano – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Fidelis Andria
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Virtus Francavilla
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarnese – last 2
DD
22 Feb
vs Paganese
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Real Normanna
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Fasano and Sarnese.
What is the prediction for Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
Our pick is Città di Fasano to win with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.
Who will win Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
On our numbers Città di Fasano have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarnese 25%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
Our predicted score is Città di Fasano 1–0 Sarnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Città di Fasano vs Sarnese?
Città di Fasano vs Sarnese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nola 19251
Francavilla2
Real Normanna1
Manfredonia0
Martina Franca1
Ferrandina0
Paganese0
Barletta2