Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaganese to win ✗43% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Paganese vs Barletta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paganese welcome Barletta to Stadio Marcello Torre for a Serie D Girone H fixture on Sunday 1 March (15:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paganese 1.2 xG, Barletta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paganese 43%, draw 28%, Barletta 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paganese 1–1 Barletta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paganese43%fair 2.34 · @2.04
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.95
Barletta30%fair 3.37 · @3.40
2.18Expected goals
1.21Paganese xG
0.98Barletta xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paganese 1.2 – 1.0 Barletta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paganese to win✗
43%
2.34
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.27
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Paganese (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Barletta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Paganese to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paganese / FT Paganese✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
Paganese – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Sarnese
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pompei
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barletta – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Afragolese
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ferrandina
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paganese and Barletta.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Paganese vs Barletta?
On our numbers Paganese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Barletta 30%.
How many goals will there be in Paganese vs Barletta?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paganese vs Barletta?
Our predicted score is Paganese 1–1 Barletta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paganese vs Barletta?
Paganese vs Barletta (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marcello Torre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nola 19251
Francavilla2
Real Normanna1
Manfredonia0
Città di Fasano1
Sarnese1
Martina Franca1
Ferrandina0