Fidelis Andria v Sarnese Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFidelis Andria to win ✓38% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.74

Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Serie D Girone H brings Fidelis Andria against Sarnese at Stadio Degli Ulivi. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Fidelis Andria, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Francavilla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sarnese, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Real Acerrana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fidelis Andria 1.2 xG, Sarnese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fidelis Andria 38%, draw 27%, Sarnese 34%.
Price worth noting: Sarnese to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fidelis Andria 1–1 Sarnese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fidelis Andria38%fair 2.60 · @2.15

Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.00

Sarnese34%fair 2.93 · @3.20

2.31Expected goals

1.15Fidelis Andria xG

1.16Sarnese xG

47%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

2–18%

From our goals model: Fidelis Andria 1.2 – 1.2 Sarnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fidelis Andria to win ✓	38%	2.60	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.90	–
Draw no bet	Fidelis Andria (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Fidelis Andria +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Sarnese to score first	45%	2.21	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sarnese / FT Sarnese ✗	20%	4.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	8.74	–

Fidelis Andria – last 6

DWLWLW

2 Apr	vs Francavilla	0–0	D
29 Mar	vs Real Acerrana	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ Afragolese	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Heraclea	1–0	W
1 Mar	@ Nardò	2–3	L
22 Feb	vs Città di Fasano	2–0	W

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sarnese – last 5

WDWDD

2 Apr	@ Real Acerrana	5–2	W
22 Mar	@ Heraclea	1–1	D
15 Mar	vs Gravina	2–0	W
22 Feb	vs Paganese	1–1	D
15 Feb	@ Real Normanna	2–2	D

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

80%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	11	9	0	2	+9	27
2	Martina Franca	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	Brindisi	11	7	0	4	+6	21
4	Gravina	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Turris	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Manfredonia	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Gladiator	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Fidelis Andria	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Bisceglie	11	5	0	6	0	15
10	USD Palmese	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Real Normanna	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Nocerina	11	4	1	6	-2	13
13	Real Forio 2014	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Melfi	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Ebolitana	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Ischia	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Francavilla	11	2	2	7	-6	8
18	Nardò	11	2	3	6	-9	7

Team

Pts

-1

-1

-2

-3

-8

-8

-4

-6

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese?

On our numbers Fidelis Andria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sarnese 34%.

How many goals will there be in Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese?

Our predicted score is Fidelis Andria 1–1 Sarnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese?

Fidelis Andria vs Sarnese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Degli Ulivi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Fidelis Andria v Sarnese: numbers & prediction