Virtus Francavilla v Francavilla Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVirtus Francavilla to win ✗57% · @1.85

Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✗82% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28

Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Virtus Francavilla v Francavilla in the Serie D Girone H, played at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II. In the table, Virtus Francavilla are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Francavilla are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Virtus Francavilla, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Afragolese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Francavilla, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fidelis Andria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Virtus Francavilla, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Francavilla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Francavilla 1.6 xG, Francavilla 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Francavilla 57%, draw 25%, Francavilla 18%.
Lower-risk option: Virtus Francavilla or draw (82%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Virtus Francavilla or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Francavilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Virtus Francavilla57%fair 1.76 · @1.85

Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20

Francavilla18%fair 5.54 · @3.70

2.30Expected goals

1.59Virtus Francavilla xG

0.71Francavilla xG

44%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–013%

1–111%

0–010%

2–19%

0–17%

From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.6 – 0.7 Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Virtus Francavilla to win ✗	57%	1.76	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Virtus Francavilla or draw ✗	82%	1.22	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	56%	1.78	–
Draw no bet	Virtus Francavilla (draw no bet) ✗	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Francavilla +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Virtus Francavilla to score first ✗	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla ✗	36%	2.79	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.28	–

Virtus Francavilla – last 6

DWWWWL

2 Apr	@ Afragolese	2–2	D
29 Mar	vs Nardò	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ Real Acerrana	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Nola 1925	2–1	W
1 Mar	@ Heraclea	3–1	W
22 Feb	vs Gravina	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Francavilla – last 6

DDLLWD

2 Apr	@ Fidelis Andria	0–0	D
29 Mar	vs Heraclea	2–2	D
22 Mar	@ Nardò	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Città di Fasano	0–2	L
1 Mar	@ Nola 1925	2–1	W
22 Feb	vs Real Normanna	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	11	9	0	2	+9	27
2	Martina Franca	11	7	1	3	+9	22
3	Brindisi	11	7	0	4	+6	21
4	Gravina	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Turris	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Manfredonia	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Gladiator	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Fidelis Andria	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Bisceglie	11	5	0	6	0	15
10	USD Palmese	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Real Normanna	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Nocerina	11	4	1	6	-2	13
13	Real Forio 2014	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Melfi	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Ebolitana	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Ischia	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Francavilla	11	2	2	7	-6	8
18	Nardò	11	2	3	6	-9	7

Team

Pts

-1

-1

-2

-3

-8

-8

-4

-6

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla?

Our pick is Virtus Francavilla or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla?

On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Francavilla 18%.

How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla?

Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla?

Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Virtus Francavilla v Francavilla: numbers & prediction