Value bet: Vibonese to win @ 3.94 – our chance 33% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSavoia to win ✓43% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Vibonese vs Savoia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vibonese welcome Savoia to Stadio Luigi Razza for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vibonese 1.4 xG, Savoia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vibonese 33%, draw 24%, Savoia 43%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Vibonese to win @3.94 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vibonese 1–1 Savoia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vibonese33%fair 2.99 · @3.94
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35
Savoia43%fair 2.34 · @1.86
2.72Expected goals
1.44Vibonese xG
1.27Savoia xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vibonese 1.4 – 1.3 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Savoia to win✓
43%
2.34
1.86
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.92
Draw no bet
Savoia (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Savoia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Vibonese to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vibonese / FT Vibonese✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Vibonese – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Gelbison
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Milazzo
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Savoia – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Nissa
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ CastrumFavara
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vibonese and Savoia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vibonese vs Savoia?
On our numbers Vibonese have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Savoia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Vibonese vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vibonese vs Savoia?
Our predicted score is Vibonese 1–1 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vibonese vs Savoia?
Vibonese vs Savoia (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gelbison1
Messina1